Daily Fantasy Football Picks Week 4

I’m going to pretend last week didn’t happen. I had some great picks, but no great lineups. This week I’m probably going to consolidate my lineups and strictly do some cash games and no big tournaments because I’m not feeling so hot about this week. Here’s how I did last week:

QB: Aaron Rodgers (25.82), Matt Ryan (16.66), Trevor Siemian (9.56), Derek Carr (7.22)

RB: Duke Johnson Jr. (19.4), Ty Montgomery (9), Javorious Allen (5.3), Jay Ajayi (3.5)

WR: Antonio Brown (22), A.J. Green (22.1), Jarvis Landry (7.8), Jamison Crowder (6.2), Rashard Higgins (2), Michael Crabtree (1.2), Amari Cooper (1.1)

TE: Zach Ertz (13.5), George Kittle (1.3), Jason Witten (0.8), Jack Doyle (0.6)

K: Matt Bryant (14), Giorgio Tavecchio (4)

D: Jaguars (12), Dolphins (5), Rams (4), Ravens (-4)

Best Lineup: Rodgers, Johnson Jr., Montgomery, Brown, Green, Ertz, Bryants, Jags (137.82 Total Points)

Yeah I didn’t use this lineup. I had pieces of this, but ultimately chose wrong and I’m kicking myself for it. Oh well. That’s why there’s 17 weeks.

Here are my picks for this week. This week is really tough with a lot of even matchups across the board, but I’m very confident in a select few players to go off this week.

Top Stacks: Palmer/Fitzgerald, Siemian/Sanders/Thomas, Ryan/Jones

I’m loving all three of these stacks this week, but one in particular that I’m going to use is Siemian/Sanders/Thomas. The key part of that stack is Siemian and Sanders. Sanders is the #4 targeted receiver so far this year, and I’m a big believer in young quarterbacks showing all their tendencies. Siemian targets Sanders the most because he’s the most reliable target they have. Demaryius Thomas is known for his athleticism, but not his hands. Sanders target share and expected volume are major plus’s heading into this week against a young, inexperienced, and recently exposed secondary in the Raiders.

Here’s my picks for this week

QB: Trevor Siemian, Matt Ryan, Drew Brees, Alex Smith

RB: Ezekiel Elliott, Dalvin Cook, Mike Gillislee, Duke Johnson Jr.

WR: Michael Thomas, A.J. Green, Tyreek Hill, Marqise Lee

TE: Zach Ertz, Delanie Walker, Charles Clay

K:Matt Bryant, Dan Bailey

D:Jaguars, Falcons, Eagles

Other than the QB’s I used in my stacks, I love Brees this week. Alex Smith is more of a GPP play because I think his ownership will be low facing a solid Redskins defense that made Derek Carr look like David Carr last week. Brees should be able to find lots of success against a weak Miami defense that has failed every test so far this year. If you stack Brees with Thomas, maybe even look at Ted Ginn as another option for you. I think Brees has one of the highest potentials this week.

Zeke Elliott has to feel like now is the time to prove the doubters wrong. He’s still having a good year, but when is that explosion of a game going to come? I’m betting its this week.

Marqise Lee is a fantastic value and low ownership pick this week. He’s going to get his lion’s share of targets with Hurns out. They can only hand the ball off to Fournette so many times, so expect Bortles to look Lee’s way quite a few times this Sunday.

Charles Clay is my season long fantasy TE, but this week I’m going to roll with him in daily. He’s pretty cheap and one of the most consistent passing targets that Tyrod Taylor has other than LeSean McCoy. Atlanta can bring some pressure to Taylor, which I think helps Clay’s cause as a dump receiver. I expect Atlanta to go up big in this game, leading to lots of passes from Taylor falling into the hands of Clay and McCoy. I suggest taking at least one of these guys this week.

I got a real weird feeling Dan Bailey is going to drill a 50+ yarder this week. Mark my words.

The safest pick this week for Defense is the Jaguars and that’s what I’m going with. I’ll let the rest of my lineup do the talking.

Enjoy!

 

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